10/25 US Senate Predictions

Democrats have a 94.6 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.8 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.4 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats


Notable Events Since Last Report - Alaska race heats up.

10/23 US Senate Predictions

Democrats have a 94.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.8 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.1 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats


Notable Events Since Last Report - Marco Rubio pulls ahead in Florida. John Raese regains lead in WV.

10/17 US Senate Predictions

There are 16 days until the election.
Democrats have a 95.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 2.7 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.2 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats

10/16 US Senate Predictions

There are 17 days until the election.
Democrats have a 94.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats

10/15 US Senate Predictions

There are 18 days until the election.
Democrats have a 94.3 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats

10/14 US Senate Predictions

There are 19 days until the election.
Democrats have a 92.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 5.3 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats


Notable Events Since Last Report - Joe Manchin narrows gap between himself and John Raese in latest poll.

10/13 US Senate Predictions

Democrats have an 84.5 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have an 11 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 4.3 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 49 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats


Notable Events Since Last Report - John Raese (R-WV) pulls ads after casting call revealed to have sought "hickish" actors.

10/6 US Senate Projections

Democrats have an 87 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 9.2 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 3.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present

Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats
Independent/Write-in candidates are expected to have 1 seat

Notable Events Since Last Report - None