Friday, October 31, 2008

10/31 Senate Supermajority Predictions

There are 4 days until the Election

There is a 100% chance the Democrats will have a Majority in the US Senate.
There is a 0.3% chance the Democrats will have a Super-Majority in the US Senate.

The Republicans are expected to have 43 Senate seats.
The Democrats are expected to have 57 Senate seats.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Alaska with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Colorado with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Georgia with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Kentucky with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Louisiana with 1 Seats (Democrat Incumbent)
Minnesota with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Mississippi with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
New Hampshire with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
North Carolina with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Oregon with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)

Note:
A Super-Majority is considered when there are 60+ seats in favor of one party or the other.

10/31 Predictions

There are 4 days until the Election

There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 202 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 336 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

10/29 Predictions

There are 6 days until the Election

There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Friday, October 24, 2008

10/24 Predictions

There are 11 days until the Election

There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Monday, October 20, 2008

10/20 Predictions

There are 15 days until the Election

There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Colin Powell Endorses Barack Obama

Friday, October 17, 2008

10/17 Predictions (Post-Debate)

There are 18 days until the Election

There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Third and Final Presidential Debate has ended

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

10/15 Predictions (Pre-Debate)

There are 20 days until the Election

There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 199 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 339 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average Drops over 700 points
Candidates Prepare for third and last debate

Sunday, October 12, 2008

10/12 Predictions

There are 23 days until the Election

There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 207 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 331 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Saturday, October 11, 2008

10/11 Predictions

There are 24 days until the Election

There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 205 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 333 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Thursday, October 9, 2008

10/09 Prediction

There are 26 days until the Election

There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average posts sixth straight triple-digit loss
Obama campaign conclusively linked to ACORN
Missouri replaces Minnesota as Top 10 Swing State

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

10/08 Predictions (Post-Debate)

There are 27 days until the Election

There is a 1.9% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 98.1% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 220 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 318 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Second Presidential Debate has Ended

Monday, October 6, 2008

10/06 Predictions

There are 29 days until the Election

There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops sharply

Sunday, October 5, 2008

10/05 Predictions

There are 30 days until the Election

There is a 3.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 226 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 312 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
McCain officially backs out of Michigan
Minnesota replaces Michigan as one of the "Top 10"

Friday, October 3, 2008

10/03 Predictions

There are 32 days until the Election

There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
House has approved bailout package
Vice-Presidential debate has completed

Thursday, October 2, 2008

10/02 Predictions (Pre-Debate)

There are 33 days until the Election

There is a 5% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 95% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 229 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 309 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Senate has Passed Bailout Package
VP Candidates are preparing for debate