Tuesday, September 30, 2008

10/01 Predictions

There are 35 days until the Election

There is a 7.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 92.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
Congress Failed to Pass Bailout Package

Sunday, September 28, 2008

9/28 Predictions

There are 37 days until the Election

There is a 9.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None

Saturday, September 27, 2008

9/27 Predictions

There are 38 days until the Election

There is a 10.7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.3% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 238 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 300 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
None -- Morning After Debate

Friday, September 26, 2008

9/26: Post-Debate Predictions

There are 39 days until the Election

There is a 10.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 237 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 301 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
First Presidential Debate has just been completed

9/26 Prediction (Pre-Debate)

There are 39 days until the Election

There is a 9.4% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.6% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes

Significant Events since last Post:
John McCain agrees to attend Debate in Oxford, MS
Debate will begin in 5 minutes

Thursday, September 25, 2008

9/25 Predictions with States

There are 40 days until the Election

There is a 7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 93% chance that Barack Obama will become President.

John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.

Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes