Democrats have a 94.6 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.8 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.4 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - Alaska race heats up.
Monday, October 25, 2010
Saturday, October 23, 2010
10/23 US Senate Predictions
Democrats have a 94.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.8 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.1 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - Marco Rubio pulls ahead in Florida. John Raese regains lead in WV.
Republicans have a 3.8 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.1 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - Marco Rubio pulls ahead in Florida. John Raese regains lead in WV.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
10/17 US Senate Predictions
There are 16 days until the election.
Democrats have a 95.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 2.7 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.2 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Democrats have a 95.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 2.7 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.2 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Saturday, October 16, 2010
10/16 US Senate Predictions
There are 17 days until the election.
Democrats have a 94.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Democrats have a 94.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 3.4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Friday, October 15, 2010
10/15 US Senate Predictions
There are 18 days until the election.
Democrats have a 94.3 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Democrats have a 94.3 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 4 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.5 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Thursday, October 14, 2010
10/14 US Senate Predictions
There are 19 days until the election.
Democrats have a 92.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 5.3 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - Joe Manchin narrows gap between himself and John Raese in latest poll.
Democrats have a 92.9 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 5.3 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 1.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 52 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - Joe Manchin narrows gap between himself and John Raese in latest poll.
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
10/13 US Senate Predictions
Democrats have an 84.5 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have an 11 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 4.3 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 49 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - John Raese (R-WV) pulls ads after casting call revealed to have sought "hickish" actors.
Republicans have an 11 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 4.3 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 49 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats
Notable Events Since Last Report - John Raese (R-WV) pulls ads after casting call revealed to have sought "hickish" actors.
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
10/6 US Senate Projections
Democrats have an 87 % chance of holding their majority
Republicans have a 9.2 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 3.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats
Independent/Write-in candidates are expected to have 1 seat
Notable Events Since Last Report - None
Republicans have a 9.2 % chance regaining a total majority
Republicans have a 3.6 % chance gaining a majority with Independent or Write-In Candidates present
Republicans are expected to have 48 seats
Democrats are expected to have 51 seats
Independent/Write-in candidates are expected to have 1 seat
Notable Events Since Last Report - None
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
11/4 Predictions (90 Minutes after first polls closed)
There is one day until the election.
There is a 0% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 100% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 179 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 359 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
There is a 0% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 100% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 179 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 359 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
11/4 Senate Super-Majority Predictions (Immediately before first Polls close)
There are 0 days until the Election
There is a 100% chance the Democrats will have a Majority in the US Senate.
There is a 0% chance the Democrats will have a Super-Majority in the US Senate.
The Republicans are expected to have 44 Senate seats.
The Democrats are expected to have 56 Senate seats.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Alaska with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Colorado with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Georgia with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Kentucky with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Louisiana with 1 Seats (Democrat Incumbent)
Minnesota with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Mississippi with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
New Hampshire with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
North Carolina with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Oregon with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Note:
A Super-Majority is considered when there are 60+ seats in favor of one party or the other.
There is a 100% chance the Democrats will have a Majority in the US Senate.
There is a 0% chance the Democrats will have a Super-Majority in the US Senate.
The Republicans are expected to have 44 Senate seats.
The Democrats are expected to have 56 Senate seats.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Alaska with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Colorado with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Georgia with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Kentucky with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Louisiana with 1 Seats (Democrat Incumbent)
Minnesota with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Mississippi with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
New Hampshire with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
North Carolina with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Oregon with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Note:
A Super-Majority is considered when there are 60+ seats in favor of one party or the other.
Monday, November 3, 2008
11/3 Predictions
There is one day until the election.
There is a 0% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 100% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 196 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 342 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
There is a 0% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 100% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 196 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 342 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Sunday, November 2, 2008
11/01 Predictions
There are 2 days until the Election
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Friday, October 31, 2008
10/31 Senate Supermajority Predictions
There are 4 days until the Election
There is a 100% chance the Democrats will have a Majority in the US Senate.
There is a 0.3% chance the Democrats will have a Super-Majority in the US Senate.
The Republicans are expected to have 43 Senate seats.
The Democrats are expected to have 57 Senate seats.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Alaska with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Colorado with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Georgia with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Kentucky with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Louisiana with 1 Seats (Democrat Incumbent)
Minnesota with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Mississippi with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
New Hampshire with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
North Carolina with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Oregon with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Note:
A Super-Majority is considered when there are 60+ seats in favor of one party or the other.
There is a 100% chance the Democrats will have a Majority in the US Senate.
There is a 0.3% chance the Democrats will have a Super-Majority in the US Senate.
The Republicans are expected to have 43 Senate seats.
The Democrats are expected to have 57 Senate seats.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Alaska with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Colorado with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Georgia with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Kentucky with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Louisiana with 1 Seats (Democrat Incumbent)
Minnesota with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Mississippi with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
New Hampshire with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
North Carolina with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Oregon with 1 Seats (Republican Incumbent)
Note:
A Super-Majority is considered when there are 60+ seats in favor of one party or the other.
10/31 Predictions
There are 4 days until the Election
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 202 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 336 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 202 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 336 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
10/29 Predictions
There are 6 days until the Election
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Friday, October 24, 2008
10/24 Predictions
There are 11 days until the Election
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Monday, October 20, 2008
10/20 Predictions
There are 15 days until the Election
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Colin Powell Endorses Barack Obama
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Colin Powell Endorses Barack Obama
Friday, October 17, 2008
10/17 Predictions (Post-Debate)
There are 18 days until the Election
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Third and Final Presidential Debate has ended
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 198 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 340 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Third and Final Presidential Debate has ended
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
10/15 Predictions (Pre-Debate)
There are 20 days until the Election
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 199 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 339 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average Drops over 700 points
Candidates Prepare for third and last debate
There is a 0.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 199 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 339 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average Drops over 700 points
Candidates Prepare for third and last debate
Sunday, October 12, 2008
10/12 Predictions
There are 23 days until the Election
There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 207 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 331 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 207 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 331 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Saturday, October 11, 2008
10/11 Predictions
There are 24 days until the Election
There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 205 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 333 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 0.3% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.7% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 205 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 333 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Thursday, October 9, 2008
10/09 Prediction
There are 26 days until the Election
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average posts sixth straight triple-digit loss
Obama campaign conclusively linked to ACORN
Missouri replaces Minnesota as Top 10 Swing State
There is a 0.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 99.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 204 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 334 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Missouri with 11 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average posts sixth straight triple-digit loss
Obama campaign conclusively linked to ACORN
Missouri replaces Minnesota as Top 10 Swing State
Wednesday, October 8, 2008
10/08 Predictions (Post-Debate)
There are 27 days until the Election
There is a 1.9% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 98.1% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 220 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 318 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Second Presidential Debate has Ended
There is a 1.9% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 98.1% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 220 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 318 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Second Presidential Debate has Ended
Monday, October 6, 2008
10/06 Predictions
There are 29 days until the Election
There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops sharply
There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops sharply
Sunday, October 5, 2008
10/05 Predictions
There are 30 days until the Election
There is a 3.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 226 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 312 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
McCain officially backs out of Michigan
Minnesota replaces Michigan as one of the "Top 10"
There is a 3.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 226 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 312 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
McCain officially backs out of Michigan
Minnesota replaces Michigan as one of the "Top 10"
Friday, October 3, 2008
10/03 Predictions
There are 32 days until the Election
There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
House has approved bailout package
Vice-Presidential debate has completed
There is a 3.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 96.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 225 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 313 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
House has approved bailout package
Vice-Presidential debate has completed
Thursday, October 2, 2008
10/02 Predictions (Pre-Debate)
There are 33 days until the Election
There is a 5% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 95% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 229 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 309 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Senate has Passed Bailout Package
VP Candidates are preparing for debate
There is a 5% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 95% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 229 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 309 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Senate has Passed Bailout Package
VP Candidates are preparing for debate
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
10/01 Predictions
There are 35 days until the Election
There is a 7.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 92.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Congress Failed to Pass Bailout Package
There is a 7.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 92.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
Congress Failed to Pass Bailout Package
Sunday, September 28, 2008
9/28 Predictions
There are 37 days until the Election
There is a 9.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
There is a 9.2% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.8% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None
Saturday, September 27, 2008
9/27 Predictions
There are 38 days until the Election
There is a 10.7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.3% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 238 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 300 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None -- Morning After Debate
There is a 10.7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.3% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 238 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 300 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
None -- Morning After Debate
Friday, September 26, 2008
9/26: Post-Debate Predictions
There are 39 days until the Election
There is a 10.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 237 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 301 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
First Presidential Debate has just been completed
There is a 10.1% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 89.9% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 237 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 301 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
First Presidential Debate has just been completed
9/26 Prediction (Pre-Debate)
There are 39 days until the Election
There is a 9.4% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.6% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
John McCain agrees to attend Debate in Oxford, MS
Debate will begin in 5 minutes
There is a 9.4% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 90.6% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 236 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 302 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Michigan with 17 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
Significant Events since last Post:
John McCain agrees to attend Debate in Oxford, MS
Debate will begin in 5 minutes
Thursday, September 25, 2008
9/25 Predictions with States
There are 40 days until the Election
There is a 7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 93% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
There is a 7% chance that John McCain will become President.
There is a 93% chance that Barack Obama will become President.
John McCain is expected to win 233 electoral votes.
Barack Obama is expected to win 305 electoral votes.
Top 10 States in Consideration:
Colorado with 9 Electoral Votes
Florida with 27 Electoral Votes
Indiana with 11 Electoral Votes
Minnesota with 10 Electoral Votes
Nevada with 5 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire with 4 Electoral Votes
North Carolina with 15 Electoral Votes
Ohio with 20 Electoral Votes
Pennsylvania with 21 Electoral Votes
Virginia with 13 Electoral Votes
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